Week 15 Picks

Hou (+2.5) v. Den- The line has moved over 4 points because everyone is betting on Denver. Trust me, that is a mistake. Denver can't be trusted especially after won of their good games (last week @ KC). Houston might be the better team and they have home field. Gary Kubiak (Hou head coach) was on ShanaRat's staff, so he knows Den well.

SF (+8) vs. Cincy- Coin flip. Cincy struggled against Brock Berlin and the Rams. SF struggles against everyone. I guess I'll take the points and the home field.

NO (-3.5) vs. Az- NO plays well when Brees plays well. He looked solid last week and I don't see the Cards D giving him a lot of problems. Love this game.

Atl (+12.5) @ TB- Tough week for the Falcons. After Vick got sentenced, they got embarrassed on Mon nite and then coach Bobby Petrino jumped ship. The Falcons will play hard for interim coach Emmitt Thomas. They didn't like Petrino before he left and now they hate him. They will be playing to show Petrino up and possibly to make a pitch for Thomas to be the coach in 08.

Mia (+3.5) vs. Balt- Should be raining in Miami. Cleo Lemon gets the start. The Ravens have nothing to play for while the Dolphins are trying to avoid making some forgettable history.

NY Jets (+21.5) @ NE- I know, I know- Spygate! Well, there's supposed to be snow and winds of up to 40 mph. Crappy conditions help crappy teams-remember Steelers-Dolphins and Giants-Dolphins? Well, three touchdowns is too much to pass up in this weather.

Sea (-7.5) @ Caro- I really wanted to talk myself into Carolina because Sea just seems too obvious. The Panthers are 1-5 at home with all 5 losses by at least 7. Ironically, Caro is 3-0 against the NFC West. Sea has won 5 in a row.

Ten (-4) @ KC- The Chiefs just aren't good. The Titans let one slip away against SD last week. They can't afford another loss if they want to get into the playoffs and a possible rematch with SD.

Pitt (-3) vs. Jax- The best matchup of the week. Until the Steelers lose at home, I'm not picking against them.

STL (+8.5) vs. GB- Bulger returns for the Rams so I'll take the points. Very risky though.

Buf (+5.5) @ Cle- This one will be a battle and I see it being decided by a FG. Two teams that surprised everyone gunning for a playoff spot.

SD (-10.5) vs. Det- Jon Kitna said it felt like the Lions had "their hearts ripped out of their chest" after the loss to Dallas. Bells and whistles should start going off. Now, they have to fly cross country and play a team trying to clinch the AFC West despite Norv Turner.

Ind (-10.5) @ Oak- Could be surprisingly close. But the way Indy looked in Balt, those 10 points could be gone within 5 minutes. I'll go with Peyton.

Dal (-10) @ Phi- The Boys dominated in Philly, so there's no reason they shouldn't dominate the Eagles at home. Philly is done after last week's loss to the Giants. The Cowboys came out flat last week, so don't expect tthat to happen two weeks in a row.

NYG (-4.5) vs. Wash- The Skins emotional high should be over by now. The Giants played well for 5 straight quarters which is alarming, but they'll be up for this rivalry game. Todd Collins goes for the Skins. The Giants pass rush should pressure him into some TOs.

Chi (+10) @ Minn- Chi can beat Minnesota which tells me 10 is too high. Grossman is done for the year, so the Bears have some certainty at the QB position.