Week 12 Picks

Tenn (-1.5) @ Cincy- Cincinatti has the dumbest defense in the NFL. They couldn't beat Arizona at home last week so there is no reason to believe they can beat a Titans team that is still headed for the playoffs and has won 5 straight @ Cincy. How long before the first fist fight between Chad Johnson and Chris Henry? Ocho Cinco cant be happy about the kid getting this many touches since returning from his suspension. It's only a matter of time before Henry demands that Ocho Cinco start valeting his car.


Kansas City (-5.5) v. Oak- KC has owned Oakland in the last few years and Herm's teams always play hard. Oak has not one, but two terrible QBs and JaMarcus Russell still hasnt seen any action. Lamont Jordan is already resting up for next season. They cant score and they cant get big stopes when they need them. Too bad about Priest Holmes for KC though.


Buf (+7.5) @ Jax- No shame in getting mauled by the Cheaters even though Losman looked lost. Buffalo has bounced back well after their biannual drubbings from the Pats (covering 14 of 15) . This is a classic trap game for Jax with Indy on deck. Marcus Stroudt remains out which is a big loss. Marshawn's Lynch would be a nice boost for Buf, but this should be tight either way.

Denver (-2) @ Chicago- Rex Grossman is good for a late turnover in any close game and 3 or 4 in the blowouts. The Broncos are crediting a team meeting with turning their season around. I would like to sit in on one of those someday. Why is it working for the Broncos when it didn't work for teams like the Jets and Dolphins? Do the Bengals have to host team meetings during visiting hours or go to a specific location due to a teammate's home confinement?

NYG (-7.5) vs. Minnesota- The Vikings are not good outdoors and their QBs are not good anywhere. No Adrian Peterson only makes matters worse. Still waiting for the annual Fassel meltdown but don't think it will come this week.

Caro (+3) vs. NO- The Saints are totally inconsistent and Carolina is consistently mediocre. Carolina is 8-0-1 in last 9 home games as a division underdog. Vinny T. or David Carr doesnt much matter- it comes down to how many times the Saints turn the ball over.

SF (+10) @ Az- The 49ers offense is pathetic but histroy suggests that Arizona can't deal with winning. The Niners defense continues to play hard and their offense can't get any worse. If Dilfer starts, the game should be competitive. Enjoy this biannual crapfest.

STL (+3) vs. Seattle- Break up the Rams! Two in a row over the Saints and the Niners- Steven Jackson is back and that is a huge upgrade over any white running back including Brian Leonard which is why they've won a couple. Sea is a different team when their crowd isnt forcing repeated offsides penalties.

Pitt (-16.5) vs. Mia- The Steelers are solid on Monday nites (10-2 in last 12 ATS) and there won't be a second letdown against an AFC East lightweight. John Beck gets his second NFL start after the offense didn't manage a single point in Philly. This may be the first ever trap game involving an 0-10 team looking forward. The Dolphins have to be hoping to get their first win against the J-E-T-S in week 13. The only reason to tune in is to see if Ricky Williams lights up on the sidelines.

NE (-22.5) vs. Philly- Made the mistake of picking against NE last week- wont happen again this season. The Pats have won their home games by margins of 24,31,17 and 45 and their road games by margins of 24,21,21, 21,4 and 46. They should just hand them the AFC Championship and save everyone else in the AFC the career and season-ending injuries.

SD (-7.5) vs. Balt- Baltimore has lost 4 in a row and their only road win was a 9-7 thriller against the Niners. Ray Lewis may be on trial for the murder of Kyle Boller by the end of the season. Marty may try to screw this one up, but the Chargers have too much talent this week.

Wash (+3) @ TB- The Skins have been competitive on the road (2-3 with close losses @Dal &GB) and the Bucs have struggled against the better half of the league. This is basically a coin toss though.

Hou (+3.5) @ Cle- Almost every Browns game has come down to the wire and that's a scary thought with Romeo Crennel's use of timeouts and clock management. The Texans have a healthy Andre Johnson and Matt Schaub. They are pretty good outside of their division.